Sunday, December 8, 2013

BJP 1 Congress 0 for 2014 but rising AAP could be the game changer

And the most awaited results to elections are finally out. BJP was set for big gains according to exit polls in all 4 northern states that went on for elections but the party that actually has played a shocker for both national parties is AAP with a phenomenal debut in Delhi. Leave every other state’s results except Delhi and we would come to know that a revolution is underway in our country with its first footprints in Delhi. Congress and BJP had been continuously trying to neglect and undermine AAP but this party actually has decimated BJP and Congress with such smashing results on their debut. These results will definitely have long running implications on political scenario of our country but one thing is very clear that Congress has dug its own grave in its second tenure with a series of scams, rampant corruption, issues of women security, national security and above all the ever growing inflation.  

Though I am not a political pundit but I would once like to give a try to briefly analyze results of these elections. Starting with the state that has shaken the politics of this country and has taken all political pundits with surprise is the phenomenon known as AAP. Although they haven’t reached to majority on their own but this party led by an unknown face in politics (till mid 2013), Mr. Arvind Kejriwal has made BJP and Congress rethink on their strategy and dented their prospects. Before the election results the arrogant BJP and Congress leaders were not ready to acknowledge the growing clout of AAP , but by now when  they have defeated the bigwigs of BJP and Congress in their own constituencies they do have a lesson to learn. Whichever party sits in govt now will actually have to work on promises made to public just because of the standards raised by AAP. The biggest takeover from Delhi is that people actually are fed up of BJP and Congress and are looking for another viable option that really is “one of them and for them”.  

With a hat trick of BJP in MP and Chattisgarh it would be very tough for the congress leaders to boost the morale of its cadre. Likewise in Gujarat the opposition has been decimated, the same story seems to be repeating in MP and Chattisgarh as well. The issue with congress in these areas is that they don’t actually have credible local faces to connect with the masses which BJP considerably does have.  Moreover Congress’s “Rahul Gandhi” and “Secular” cards seem failing miserably in these areas and they need to have a rethink on their strategy in these states.The takeover from these states for Congress is that, they need to dump the likes of Digvijay and Kamalnath and induct some fresh and credible faces to take on Shivraj and Raman Singh.

Finally BJP has won the fort of Rajasthan as well. Though Rajasthan does have the trend to throw out the running govt everytime it votes but what might be worrying for congress is the victory of margin for BJP which is whopping in every sense. Alhough Congress does have a face like Gehlot in Rajasthan but he too seems to be sandwiched between the party high command in Delhi and his local detractors within the party. With too many populist schemes doling out since last year he is unable to save his fort. The second factor that worked for BJP here was the Modi factor which everyone has accepted as a decisive factor. In Rajasthan as well they need to work from the very scratch and that too immediately if they want to make some outside chances for 2014.

Having said that I would conclude my article in one liner that “This is called true democracy, for the people and by the people and we really have to be part of the system to change the system. Rise Up”.
Jai hind !!